Archive for the ‘Fun Promos’ Category

The $18,000 Bet… What Would You Score?

“I bet you can’t shoot under par in a 4-ball scramble”

That’s the random out of the blue challenge I received today. It came from an individual I’ve never met. He publicly bet me $18,000 I couldn’t break par. On one of Florida’s toughest golf courses. From the tips. Playing a 4-ball scramble.

It’s an easy win for me. I’ll explain below.

I accepted the bet and offered to double it to $36,000… if he could verify funds.

Of course, the dude could not back his mouth up with funds.

Which is fine. I felt bad for him. I was hustling him.  He’s clueless when it comes to the effects of having 4 chances on every shot.

But it got me thinking. What would you score?

How does a 4-ball scramble impact your score?

It’s not an overly complex formula to calculate.

First, you can take a look at any scrambles you’ve participated in. I’ve participated in many and typically score between -10 and -18, and that’s with a team of three other golfers who score higher.

But you’ve also got to factor in the golf course. This dude picked a place called Old Corkscrew. It’s ranked as one of Florida’s ten toughest golf courses. The scorecard shows 7,393 yards  and a rating/slope of 76.6/151. But allegedly there is a “secret” back tee at 7,800+ yards with a rating close to 80.

So what does that mean?

Stick with me here.

The course rating is basically the number that when added to your handicap you will match or beat that number 25% of your rounds. Example: If you are a 20 handicap and the course rating is 70, you would be able to score 90 or better approximately 25% of the time, while 75% of your scores would match or be higher than 90.

This means that as a +1 handicap (1 better than zero), playing a course with a rating of 80, I would score 79 or better 25% of the time. Breaking the par 72 at Old Corkscrew from the “secret” back tees would be virtually impossible for a +1 handicap golfer. Additionally, since my scoring average at my home club is 2 strokes higher than the course rating, we can assume a +1 handicap would average 82 from these tees.

Fortunately I’m in luck. The dude bet me I couldn’t break par playing a 4-ball scramble. That means that I get to hit each shot 4 times and choose the very best one!

So the question becomes, could a +1 handicap golfer, playing their own 4 ball scramble, score 11 shots better than average and successfully play under par from the tips at Old Corkscrew?

Let’s see how this plays out.

First we’ll look at a regular two man scramble I play in where I have a 13 handicap playing partner. We use about 80% of my shots and our scores range from 55 to 68 on a course where I average 69 on my own ball. Looking back over the last 18 rounds our average score is 61.88.

*In full disclosure the format in this event allows for mulligans which we convert about 40% of the time. Thus I’m adding two strokes to the average to be more realistic. So we’ll take 63.88 as our case study and round it up to 64 for good measure.

As you can see, in a two person scramble where the other person is an average of 13 strokes higher, we still beat my average score by 5 strokes a round. Once you factor in my own ability and the advantage of hitting the same shot 4 times in a row, one could assume the scoring average would be at least 12 shots better.

But let’s also take a statistical approach. A typical +1 golfer hits the fairway about 45% of the time, hits the green in regulation about 50% of the time, averages 2 penalty shots per round and averages 30 putts per round. On a course like Old Corkscrew these statistics would not be as successful. The +1 would be closer to 25% for fairways, 30% for greens, 3 penalty shots and 32 putts.

Now how does that work in a 4 ball scramble?

Take the 25% fairway stat. Over the course of 4 shots you are going to hit the fairway at least once on every single hole. But remember. Golf is not a consistent game. A +1 may occasionally miss the fairway 7 times in a row!  So, even in a scramble, the +1 golfer is likely to miss a few fairways. We’ll say that well over 90% of the time a +1 would hit 14 of 18 fairways on this extremely difficult golf course playing a 4-ball scramble.

On to the greens in regulation statistic. Very similar to the fairway statistic. At least 1 of every 4 swings for a +1 golfer is going to hit the green. Therefore in a 4-ball scramble a +1 golfer is likely to hit 15 or more greens in regulation well over 90% of the time.

It comes down to putting. We all know how difficult putting is. And the greens at Old Corkscrew are legendary for their difficulty. However we also know how easy it is to make the putt on the 2nd try. How many of you have said “best 2nd putter ever!” after you miss an easy putt and try it again. Now imagine having 4 chances at it! Yep! This is exactly why so many 4 person scramble teams come in at 18 under par; even when they have two higher handicap golfers on the team. Putting is infinitely easier!

Rarely do you find a 4-ball scramble score with more than 24 putts. But for arguments sake, and since the greens at Old Corkscrew are extremely difficult, let’s just say the +1 golfer only has 6 one putts for a total of 30 putts.

14 fairways, 15 greens in regulation and 30 putts.

Penalty Strokes? You want to talk about penalty strokes? With 4 chances on every shot a +1 golfer would only receive a penalty every 1,000+ holes, even on a course as difficult as the one I have been challenged to play.

The above statistics result in a score of 3 under par 69.

And I’ve been very conservative to make the score and statistics high. I firmly believe a +1 golfer would score closer to 62 to 66 playing a 4-ball scramble on even the most difficult golf course in the world.

It’s a no brainer bet on my part. And it would have been fun! Unfortunately for me and fortunately for the random social media dude, he doesn’t have the funds to back up his big mouth.

So now that you’ve seen how to calculate the numbers if you played a 4-ball scramble, what would your score be?

When spring arrives, get back on the course and try it for real. Let me know how close your guess is to your real score!

P.S. At least I invoiced him $997 for the gambling lesson.

 

Epic $300K Super Bowl Package

Epic $300K Super Bowl Package Includes Helicopter Ride to Napa, Golf With Jerry Rice,       PGA Golf Coach and Private Celeb After Parties

Click here for details- SuperBowlPackage

 

www.GrandRapidsGolfLesson.com

2013 Christmas Golf Catalog

Click Here for the Best Christmas Gifts You Probably Missed- 2013ChristmasCatalog

http://www.GrandRapidsGolfLesson.com

616.802.4969

The Turn Home, Ian McShane, 2013 Open Championship, (Defeat / Tom Rinaldi)

Wow! If this video doesn’t give you chills you should probably find another sport to play

http://vimeo.com/70699995

 

book your session online at www.GrandRapidsGolfLesson.com

Funniest Golf Video Clip Ever? – You Decide

Funniest Golf Video Clip Ever – You Decide

This maybe the funniest golf video I have ever seen. It’s a candid camera style clip taken at a local driving range.

The look on the players’ faces when the local  redneck shows up and starts shooting, at the golf balls in flight are priceless!

I hope it you enjoy it and share it with your friends.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v8z0hyIx3fE

Your Partner In Golf Success,

Scott Seifferlein
Author, Speaker & PGA Golf Guru
"Stop Slicing Five Swings Guaranteed!"
2011 GR Chamber Young Entrepreneur Of The Year Finalist
2011 Bill Strausbaugh Award For The Advancement Of Teaching 
Phone: 616.802.4969
Our Websites- http://tinyurl.com/GRGolf 
Take The Breakthrough Golf Assessment- 
http://www.grandrapidsgolflesson.com/golf-breakthrough-assessment
Scott's Book- http://www.grandrapidsgolflesson.com/books/

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and website www.GrandRapidsGolfLesson.com

Amway Grand Plaza Dreams Package Giveaway

Plaza Dreams Hotel Room Package

“Scott, are you paying attention to me?”

I awake from my trance and look up from the letter I had been working on to discover my beautiful bride had been talking to me for five minutes about a weekend trip we were planning with the kids.

Kids. That’s right. I have kids. Sometimes I forget. That is what happens when you have advanced level focus skills typical of high sports performers. Which leads me to my point and gift I have for the first person to respond to this letter at the upcoming West Michigan Golf Show.

A couple of years ago I was at a fundraiser for Health Intervention Services. There was an auction for a Plaza Dreams Hotel Room Package at the Amway Grand Plaza. I was deep in concentration. Deer in headlights look was in full effect. I thought it would be a really great gift for my lovely bride. The auction ended. I was the winner. All was good in my world.

Until I got home.

“When are we going to use that?” asked my beautiful bride.

“How about next weekend?” said I.

“What are we going to do with the kids?” said she.

“We have kids?” said I.

So much for that brilliant idea. So down to my office went the gift certificate. Into the pile of unending projects. Where it sat for two years until I cleaned my desk this winter. I asked my still lovely bride if she would like to use it and she informed me about the children. They are still in the house… and won’t be old enough to move out for 18 more years.

So I have decided to give it away to the first person who stops by to see me at the Watermark Country Club booth (#1219) at the West Michigan Golf Show and selects a customized coaching program. Your customized coaching program can be for the remaining 7 weeks of indoor season or for the upcoming outdoor season. I’ll be at the booth from 2:30pm to 4:00pm on Saturday Feb. 9th and 1:30pm to 3pm on Sunday Feb. 10th.

The Golf Show takes place at DeVos Place and the Watermark CC will be located at booth #1219.

Here are the details of the Plaza Dreams Hotel Room Package:

Amway Grand Plaza

For couples looking for an extraordinary way to get away from it all.

Your package includes:

  • Overnight accommodations for two featuring a plush single king, or double queen beds, with pillow top mattress, down pillows, and cozy sheets for one spectacular evening.
  • Evening turndown service.
  • Access to the Plaza Fitness Center and all its amenities, including heated pool and hot tub.
  • 24-hour concierge service.

*Available Friday and Saturday evenings only.

Barclays, Bethpage Black, 17th Hole, FedEx Cup Playoffs and The Game of Golf & The Art of Business

This week the first round of the PGA Tour FedEx Cup Playoffs takes place at Bethpage Black. The course was the setting for the book The Game of Golf & The Art of Business. Expect the 17th hole to play a pivotal role in the outcome of the event. Below you will find an excerpt from the book The Game of Golf & The Art of Business featuring the 17th hole at Bethpage Black.

Hole 17
The Lesser of Two Evils

The Black Course doesn’t taper off at the end. Seventeen is the
last par 3, but it’s a tough golf hole. It’s got a huge, kidney beanshaped
green. The concave side of the bean is facing you, but the
bean is lying at a 40 degree diagonal angle to you as you look at it
from the tee. So, as the player sees it, there is a near section of the
green that’s on a lower tier of elevation. In front of that is deep
rough. The concave portion of the bean is filled with a deep
bunker, and the back of the green is a good 20 yards further away
than the front on a higher tier of elevation.

The yardage card reads 195 because that’s to the center of the
bean. But for all practical purposes, there are two greens, and a
player with Bob’s range and skills is faced with a difficult choice.
He can aim for the front portion of the bean only 175 yards away.
If he comes up short, he’s in deep rough. If he hits the green he’ll
have to make a 100 foot lag putt up a steep hill to the upper tier.
But at least he’s on the green and has taken the bunkers out of play.
The other choice is to aim for the upper, back portion of the
bean over the bunkers in the concave side. But the ball has to fly
200 yards from the tee to clear the bunker. For Bob, that would be a
full swing with his driver. And then the ball would come in fast,
with a low trajectory, and roll off the back.

The flag was in the back, upper portion of the green which
meant that Bob had two bad choices: an easier tee shot followed by
a 100 foot lag putt that could easily lead to three more putts or a 3-
wood into the bunker followed by a bunker shot to get up close to
the pin and hope for a one-putt for par or, most likely, a two-putt
bogey.

“Pick the lesser of two evils,” I said, as I explained his choices.

“I want to hit the green near the pin and birdie this,” said Bob,
shaking his head and laughing at the difficulty of the shot.

“Yeah, well, that’s not on the menu,” I said. “What you need
to decide here is what crap you want to deal with.”

“So this is like a day at the office, huh?” said Bob, laughing.

“We joke a lot that we don’t get to choose between bullshit and no
bullshit. But we do get to choose what flavor of bullshit we want to
deal with.”

“That’s a good way to look at it,” I said. “It’s like choosing the
window or aisle seat on a plane. If you take the window, you can’t
get up and stretch or use the bathroom. You’re trapped by some
sleeping granny. But if you take the aisle, the beverage carts bang
your elbows, and there’s always some whiny kid next to you that
wants to get up every fifteen minutes.”

Bob laughed, “Pretty much. There are no good seats, just
degrees of bad. But there is a worst seat: the middle, right?”

“So, that’s the sort of choice you have to make here. Do you
want your second shot to be the beginning of a putting adventure
or a blast out of the bunker?”

Bob thought about it for a while.

To find out what Bob does next and enjoy all 18 of his adventures at Bethpage Black, go to

www.GrandRapidsGolfLesson.com/books